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Technical Case Study

From: Secretaria Municipal de Saúde (SMS), Epidemiological Intelligence Center, The Rockefeller Foundation, Global Nation

Approach:

  • To address mounting dengue epidemics, Rio de Janeiro’s Health Surveillance Superintendence (SVS) has made a concerted effort to integrate multisectoral collaboration into city-wide dengue management, drawing on the expertise of the Operations and Resilience Center (COR) and other partners. 
  • Through the strategic integration of entomological, meteorological, and geographic data, the team was able to predict a spike in dengue cases two months earlier than forecasted by traditional epidemiological models alone.
  • Feeding this information back into a centralized data unit allowed responders to deploy resources and mitigate potential hotspots before their emergence.
  • With the declared public health emergency concluding in just 58 days, the city observed the lowest lethality rate over the past four dengue epidemics. 

Why take action?

Cases of dengue fever in Brazil have risen steadily over time, with 2.9 million cases accounting for 60% of global incidence in 2023. At the local level, urban cities such as Rio de Janeiro are disproportionately burdened by dengue due to a combination of infrastructural, geographic, and socioeconomic vulnerability.

Impermeable building materials, for example, cause the runoff and collection of water in stagnant pools. Similarly, the trapping of heat and humidity across urban infrastructure, make cities ideal breeding spots for Aedes aegypti mosquitoes, as carriers of dengue fever. Compounding this, high population densities and poor sanitation networks in favelas have amplified cases amongst Rio’s most vulnerable.

In July and August of 2023, Brazil’s year-round epidemiological monitoring system registered a small, but above-expected change in dengue cases for the season. A myriad of factors including climate change, rapid urbanization, and poor sanitation infrastructure have contributed to this rise, in turn increasing the pressure on local health systems. From December 2023 onwards, a sustained rise in cases triggered the elevation of dengue response, with the initiation of the Dengue Emergency Operations Center (COE Dengue) in January of 2024, to intensify control measures and install care centers. 58 days later, the declared public health emergency was concluded, with the city observing the lowest lethality rate over the past four dengue epidemics. 

Key messages

  • A robust data collection and modelling system provided a four-week action opportunity for state ministries, healthcare providers, and community groups to anticipate and mitigate the threat of dengue outbreaks, through resource allocation, epidemiological control measures, and awareness messaging.
  • Multisectoral coordination facilitated critical collaboration between Ministries of Environment, Health, Waste Management, Education and Urban Planning, to ensure comprehensive, city-wide control.
  • Overall messaging was widespread, with 618 press requests, 208 stories and 196 interviews across TV, radio, and print publications. 505 social media posts were shared on the topic, and 1,736 public queries and interactions were answered.
  • Over 2.8 million properties were inspected and 447 thousand breeding sites eliminated, and promotional and preventive actions were carried out in 1,188 schools.
  • A coordinated, multisectoral plan resulted in the lowest lethality rate among the last four epidemics (0.01% in 2024, versus 0.03% in 2012, 0.13% in 2008, and 0.04% in 2002)

How to get started

While disaster response has been traditionally siloed, the emergence of joint climate-health risks has spotlighted the need for new forms of cross-sectoral partnership. Aware of this issue, Rio’s Health Surveillance Superintendence (SVS) has made a concerted effort to integrate multisectoral collaboration into city-wide dengue management, drawing on the expertise of the Operations and Resilience Center (COR) and other partners.  Through the strategic integration of entomological, meteorological, and geographic data, the team was able to predict a spike in dengue cases two months earlier than forecasted by traditional epidemiological models alone. Feeding this information back into a centralized data unit allowed responders to deploy resources and identify potential hotspots before their emergence. Leveraging the complementary skills of key response partners, the city was able to manage dengue outbreaks in a dynamic and responsive manner.

 

Key learning: Fostering multisectoral coordination through dialogue, standard operating procedures, and cross-team training

The SVS brought together a multidisciplinary team, comprised of experts in entomology, meteorology, geography, and urban planning who, much like pieces of a jigsaw, brought complementary skillsets. SVS provided crucial epidemiological and IT expertise, with a cross-disciplinary team of doctors, nurses, veterinarians, and geographers responsible for entomological modelling and analysis. An IT sub-unit provided programming support and maintains the data management infrastructure, with automated risk modelling further streamlining the process of data collection and visualization. Underwriting this partnership was the transfer of skills and knowledge across teams, with the epidemiological team taking courses in climate risk, and the IT team receiving foundational epidemiological training.

Supplementing this, COR acted as a major intelligence and operations hub for the city. During the epidemic, it drew on its large-scale emergency management capabilities to building georeferencing tools to track the spread of dengue. COR’s geographers work to geocode hotspots and set over 2,000 mosquito egg traps for further entomological research. Through engaging with communities in favelas, teams often managed to geocode 90% of cases within just a few days of their incidence. A risk communication wing further engaged local communities in data collection and health education. Importantly, COR served as a major interface between climate and other sectors, drawing on its powers of integration between agencies.

While practitioners note the challenge of integrating multiple streams of data – demographic, entomological, and climatic - over multiple timeframes, interorganizational dialogue proved invaluable. The convening power of local leadership was similarly critical, with Rio’s mayor facilitating collaboration between teams. Bringing these actors together in a centralized Operations Center facilitated an in-house response coordinated in real-time, thus overcoming key barriers to collaboration including poor interoperability and institutional fragmentation.

Reinforcing this, collective action was streamlined under the 2024-2025 Municipal Contingency Plan for Arboviruses, developed by SVS in agreement with all technical areas of the Municipal Health Secretariat. This Plan acted as a standard operating guide for all involved parties, maximizing effectiveness and minimizing delays in response. Operations are also convened under the specific city Summer Plan, which focused on specific responsibilities for each agency in response to seasonal concerns such as heavy rainfall.

Key learning: Creating robust data collection and management processes

The success of SVS’s multisectoral coordination stemmed, in large part, from a robust, city-wide data collection methodology, critical in the identification and georeferencing of breeding sites. Through a shared platform, SVS was able to access climate data from COR to layer on top of epidemiological modelling. Weather station data from the municipal Alerta Rio network, the Air Force Meteorology Network (REDMET), and the National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) was automatically extracted, and meteorological models were integrated to generate heatwave alerts. This extensive range of data is inserted into the Data Lake of the Epidemiological Intelligence Center of the Health Surveillance Superintendence (CIE/SVS/SMS-Rio).

Further, dengue cases were systematically georeferenced for spatial distribution analysis by the Geographical Information Advisory of the SVS. 2,656 traps across the city collected and evaluated monthly entomological surveillance data. A kernel map, produced based on this data, indicated priority areas for vector control and elimination. All these analyses are integrated into the GeoArbo monitoring tool, accessible to a range of practitioners to inform response actions.

The geolocation of human cases indicated priority areas for the creation of dengue care centers, in addition to strengthening healthcare and laboratory surveillance actions in these areas. It also enabled intersectoral actions in communication, health promotion, and vector control.

The models provided a four-week action opportunity. Statistical modeling for alerts and predictive modeling based on real-time collected healthcare data supported the preparation and response of the emergency and primary healthcare network, enabling timely tracking of trend changes, case increases in certain localities, and adequate resource allocation for effective interventions, ensuring more efficient and targeted health service management.

Key learning: Translating data into action through an institutionalized response pipeline

The team’s response began with the identification of breeding hotspots, using both city-wide epidemiological monitoring systems as well as citizen science through dengue-tracking apps.

After data collection and processing, decision-making was coordinated under the Secretary of Health, informed by SVS’s multisectoral research. Reflecting the systems-wide impact of public health threats, traffic, health, education and waste management teams were all brought to the decision-making table. Situation reports were made and delivered to the Mayor and Secretary of Health at least weekly, with both parties in regular communication.

The health sector played a major role in the response and was responsible for requesting, structuring, and monitoring the actions of other agencies.

  • The City Hall Executive Office, for example, was key in emergency management and response execution.
  • The Municipal Secretariat for Education worked with Health Promotion (below), on educational activities in schools to promote dengue prevention. Local health agents accompanied and reported on these actions.
  • The Municipal Waste Management Corporation adapted its actions in high-incidence areas and intensified waste collection in these locations.
  • The Department of Conservation and Public Services (Conservation, Parks, and Gardens) intensified vector control efforts in public spaces and cemeteries.
  • Additionally, subprefectures participated in and supported actions, events, and service needs in their territories, based on communication from health authorities.
  • All other agencies were responsible for ensuring inspections and preventing the accumulation of potential mosquito breeding sites on their premises.

Within the health sector, the COE Dengue operated based on a responsibility matrix with three axes (Management, Operations, Communication). The matrix was updated at every meeting with actions determined for each responsible sector and status monitoring.

The COE Dengue was led by the SVS, who coordinated between sectors and conducted surveillance, control, and immunization efforts.

Tracking progress

During the crisis, the COE Dengue met twice a week to monitor the situation and establish timely follow-up actions.

A strong surveillance and data collection system allowed practitioners to effectively evaluate the city’s dengue response. Notably, more than 2.8 million properties were inspected and 447 thousand breeding sites eliminated, and promotional and preventive actions were carried out in 1,188 schools. Sector-specific actions with sub-municipalities, waste collection companies, and other agencies contributed to a city-wide management approach.

A coordinated, multisectoral plan resulted in the lowest lethality rate among the last four epidemics (0.01% in 2024, versus 0.03% in 2012, 0.13% in 2008, and 0.04% in 2002).

In practice

Rio’s climate-health strategy was built on the knowledge that climate change has cross-sectoral consequences, and thus requires an equally cross-sectoral response. SVS’s pioneering approach brought together technical experts in climate and health fields, combining this with the on-ground experiences of civil society and the legislative power of local ministries.

The success of the SVS’s multisectoral response stemmed from its careful governance and a well-planned management model. A combination of public messaging, mayoral commitment, and the establishment of the COE dengue as a governance structure, allowed for a swift response guided by epidemiological intelligence.

Furthermore, cross-sectoral collaboration – across health, education, conservation, public cleaning, and others – was intensified over the epidemic, with representatives from these sectors forming a key part of the Dengue COE team. An already well-structured Primary Healthcare and Health Surveillance network was strengthened with the inauguration of 11 exclusive dengue care centers with on-site laboratory capacity and the creation of dedicated dengue hospital beds in the main regions of the city, with specific regulation flows.

Furthermore, to share information with the population and other sectors, a website "Rio sem dengue" was created (https://riosemdengue.prefeitura.rio/) with information and the dashboard already existing in the Epidemiological Observatory EpiRio (https://epirio.svs.rio.br/painel/arboviroses/) began to have daily updates.

Overall messaging was widespread, with 618 press requests, 208 stories and 196 interviews across TV, radio, and print publications. 505 social media posts were shared on the topic, and 1,736 public queries and interactions were answered.

An “SVS in the Street” initiative brought together citizens and professionals in dengue-combatting actions, while “10-minute dengue inspection” campaigns intensified across households. The “1746 platform” further allowed citizens to request services and report breeding grounds.

Unlocking these synergies has been critical to Rio’s dengue management success, with promising applications for other emerging challenges including drought and heat.

Key resources

More information

For more information, please contact the Health Team at The Rockefeller Foundation via HealthTeam@rockfound.org

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